MCB Mid-Season Awards

by 2010 Season

Hey all, it’s time once again for the annual mid-season awards. I have no idea if this is the first annual awards or second, or third, as I was not with this site last year and I’m too darn lazy to dig through the archives to see if Joe did something like this before.

But regardless, here they are. There is some collaboration of these things, you’ll find a few notes written by my cohorts, Matt and Zac. Then, just for fun (and because I was just catching up on what Samara has been doing at Roar of the Tigers) I added a few more categories.

Tigers first-half Most Valuable Player

“It’s gotta be Miguel Cabrera. He’s leading baseball in wOBA, and leading the Tigers in WAR, but more importantly, he’s getting the job done when it counts. No one in the game has a WPA (win probability added) above Miguel Cabrera‘s 5.0 wins. So, not only is he getting the job done in a purely statistical sense, he’s getting the job done in high leverage situations.” -Matt Snyder

“With a Tiger mentioned among the possible AL MVP candidates, it becomes an easy task to pick a team MVP: Miguel Cabrera. His numbers are well known so I won’t rehash them here and I don’t really feel that I need to do so to make my case. Taking Cabrera out of the Tigers lineup leaves a mediocre to below average offensive club. One could argue that removing Justin Verlander from the starting rotation could have a similar effect but hitters always carry more weight in MVP voting.” -Zac Snyder

(more after the jump)

Ditto those above. Cabrera is on another level of greatness that other Tigers can only dream of ever reaching. There’s a ton of statistical stuff to back this up, too. Cabrera is the MVP, no question, but damn does he need a better nickname or what? Cabby cannot stand people, resist the ways of Rod Allen! -Me

Least Valuable Player

“A few names came to mind but I have to go with Adam Everett. His LVP award was solidified in my mind because one, the Tigers decided to pay him to not play for them and two, because I honestly can’t think of one contribution he made to the team prior to his release. Dontrelle Willis actually put together a couple decent starts and Gerald Laird has rebounded with a few good games at the plate.” -Zac

“It was a toss up between Adam Everett and Gerald Laird. Everett was setting new records for futility at the plate, but at least he was fielding well. Laird, on the other hand, hasn’t done anythingwell. We all figured he wouldn’t hit much after watching him flounder at the plate last season, but I thought he would still play elite defense. That hasn’t been the case. His -0.6 WAR combined with Avila’s 0.6 WAR means we’ve seen replacement level play out of the Tigers’ catching corps this year.” -Matt

Okay, I’ll break the tie. The MCB award for LVP goes to….. Gerald Laird. Sure, Everett contributed nothing while he was here, but at least the Tigers caught on and stopped allowing him to ruin the season. Laird has been steadily destroying Tigers games all year long, and he’s still at it, giving him additional opportunities to screw things up -Me

Cy Young (apologies to the BBWAA, who get mad when you use this term)

Jose Valverde has the freakish ERA, but I have difficulty giving the award to a relief pitcher (and plus, Joel Zumaya still has a higher WAR), so I’m gonna go with Justin Verlander for this one. Justin’s WAR of 3.1 says that he’s the been the most valuable Tiger’s pitcher. Without Justin Verlander the Tigers would not be this close to the division lead.” -Matt

Justin Verlander and Jose Valverde have both been very good but Valverde has been the most consistent with his success and therefore gets my pick for Tigers first half Cy Young. Valverde also has the subjective advantage of putting up his amazing numbers on the heels of the Todd Jones and Fernando Rodney era that could have been sponsored by Rolaids while Justin Verlander is simply doing what we have come to expect.” -Zac

Oooh, another tie breaker! The winner is definitely Valverde. He’s been here just a few short months and already has become one of my all-time favorite Tigers. He gets the nod on celebration alone, but his numbers don’t hurt, either. I’m reminded of a line from the Offspring when he strikes out a batter; “Now dance, fucker, dance. Man he never had a chance.” You’re gonna go far, kid. -Me (and Dexter)

Cy Yuck (apologies to Jayson Stark for stealing his category)

“My first reaction is to nominate Brad Thomas but he has been surpassed on the yucky scale by Fu-Te Ni. Ni has allowed far more hits and runs in his 23 innings this year than he did in his 31 innings last year. Thomas has been frustrating to watch due to his propensity to miss the strike zone but he has at least been able to eat up a few innings when needed. Ni hasn’t even been able to do that.” -Zac

“Can I vote for Eddie Bonine without getting beat up over it? No? Well then it’ll be Fu-Te Ni for me. He just couldn’t get anyone out, and it wasn’t a fluke either; his FIP and xFIP were the worst of any player that made more than one appearance (Sborz and Figaro are off the hook here). It didn’t help that only 33% of batted balls were on the ground (team worst), and 23% were hit on a line (second worst). I guess you can’t get MLB hitters out by throwing meatballs down the middle. Go figure.” -Matt

So Ni wins the award without my vote, but I’m voting for Rick Porcello. Seriously, this guy was supposed to be the second ace on this team. Perhaps there’s some sort of curse on guys that start the home opener? Last year it was Galarraga who was terrible after April, this year Porcello? In 2008, Verlander started on Opening Day at home, and proceeded to have his worst season of his career. Something seems fishy here. -Me

Biggest Surprise

Brennan Boesch. The average Tiger fan had never heard of him until they announced his name during his Major League debut, but everyone knows him now. He’s qualified to appear on the statistical leader boards now, and he appears on just about all of them. Among American League outfielders, he ranks 2nd in average, 1st in on-base percentage, 2nd in slugging, 2nd in OPS, and 2nd in wOBA. Somehow, though, this isn’t good enough to make the All-Star team. The only reason he’s not the MVP, in my mind, is because Miguel Cabrera‘s on the team.” -Matt (Zac and I had basically the same thoughts as Matt here, so I’ll just leave this part alone.)

Biggest Disappointment

Rick Porcello has not been able to bounce back from a rough start like he did last year when he was of the Tigers best pitchers as a 20-year old. There is still time for him to turn things around to become an important contributor down the stretch but he has been my biggest disappointment through the first half of 2010.” -Zac

Ryan Perry. He was supposed to step up to claim the 8th inning setup role, but success hasn’t come for him this year. His average game-entering leverage index is still the highest of any Tiger pitcher, but he hasn’t been able to take advantage of the opportunities. He has the lowest win probability added of any of the relief pitchers (-0.69), and WAR pegs him as having a replacement level season.” -Matt

Porcello, again. Hey, it’s my blog and I can give out two awards to the same player if I want. He’s got all the talent he needs, there’s no reason to think he’ll continue to suck, but he sure has so far. -Me

Moment of the Half Year

Unanimous here, it was Armando Galarraga‘s one-hit shutout of the Indians. Or perfect game, whichever you and MLB want to call it. Sure there has been nothing but praise heaped on the show of dignity and sportsmanship by Jim Joyce and Galarraga in the wake of that game, but the fact remains that Joyce stole a chance at history from Galarraga. Just brutal. -Me

Worst Facial Hair

This one has to go to Ryan Perry. I hate the chinstrap on anyone, but Perry makes it look even more douchey than a frat boy. Perhaps if he were to try something new he might pitch better.

Worst Arm Tattoos

Jeremy Bonderman wins this in a shocking turn of events, as most assumed we’d never see anything worse that Brandon Inge‘s ink. He’s been a pleasant surprise on the mound this year, though, so maybe they worked.

In memoriam

There sure was a lot of talk last night about the passing of George Steinbrenner and Bob Sheppard this week. Not to take anything away from either man, but would it have killed someone at Fox to mention Ernie Harwell? I guess so. But we here at MCB will continue to mourn the loss of our voice, our friend. I asked Matt and Zac to add their thoughts here as they weren’t with the site when Ernie passed away.

“As I have reflected upon Ernie Harwell’s life and legacy, all I can say about him is he was a truly awe-inspiring individual. While Ernie was with us, we were separated from the history of the game by only one degree; he was our link to the past. Here was a man who had interview Ty Cobb, he had called games including Jackie Robinson, Willie Mays, and Al Kaline, but one must look past the baseball world to see why Ernie was such an-inspiring man. He carried with him, and in him, all of the virtues that I want to posess. He wasn’t just a great baseball man; he was a great man. He was caring, he was faithful, he was humble, and he was kind. You can’t find an interview in which he didn’t mention how much he loved his wife, thank the fans for their support and affection, and praise the Lord for his blessings and gifts. I’ll miss Ernie because of his baseball mind, yes, and because he was our friend and icon, sure, but I’ll miss him most of all because he was a great role model.” -Matt

“Ernie Harwell meant a lot to me because he bridged generations. Grandparents, parents, and kids all have their favorite players and memories of their generation but Ernie Harwell was a constant thread woven through them all. He is the one part of Tigers history that we could all share and be proud of because of what he did and how he did it.” -Zac

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Very off topic (sorry John) but has anymore read Josh Katzenstein's ludicrous piece on the Detroit News site about the DH? He wrote, among a string of other pant loads, "the designated hitter is quite possibly the worst thing to ever happen to baseball". He just loves watching pitchers flail away and be (almost) automatic outs. Then again, we have Gerald Laird on our team, so I guess we do also. I think the DH is one of the best things to ever happen to baseball, but what do I know, I've only been a fan for over 50 years. Katzenstein's arguments against the DH are stupid, specious, and altogether ridiculous.

Bob- I saw the headline, but decided against reading the article. Now that you've laid it all out for me, I might go and have a laugh. I'm with you, I love the DH. I'm not sure I would like it universally implemented, as the current structure allows us to see a different game in the NL. Not better, mind you, just different.

People will talk about the lack of strategy in the AL game, but when your lineup features Danny Worth and Gerald Laird, there's still plenty of time to bunt and pinch-hit. I'll take Johnny Damon over Justin Verlander in the batters box any day.

I'll go off topic with you Bob.
I saw the article, briefly scanned it, and decided it wasn't worth reading. It would be one thing if that article was written 30 years ago but it wasn't. I want to see hitters hit and pitchers pitch, even in the NL pitchers aren't hitters.

As for his hyperbole labeling the DH the worst thing to ever happen in baseball, I would argue the DH falls somewhere behind segregated leagues.

I wouldn't get too worked up over that article.

This well written analysis of the Tiger's 2010 first half shows that you three not only have an outstanding understanding of America's Favorite Pastime, but you also have a passion for the boys at Comerica Park. Congrats! I was proud to see how well Miguel, Justin and Jose represented Tiger fans around the world at the All Star Game in beautiful Anaheim.

In Memoriam: I'm sure Mr. Harwell never uttered the f-word behind the mic or in print. And who would claim he used the word in personal and private conversations? I challenge MotorCityBengals.com to aspire to the same standard of professionalism.

Thanks Tom. If you frequent this blog, you'll know that using profanity in my posts is not something I engage in often. I agree that it does cost the post a great deal of professionalism and I rarely engage in it. I used a quote from a song that included the word, but I probably should have found a better way to express my thoughts. You're right, Ernie would not approve, and I should try harder to live up to the example he set forth.

The stats I'm using are SNL (for Verlander) vs. WXL for Valverde, both from BP. In most cases I would agree that using win-expectancy stats just bias away from performance. I wouldn't say that it's fair to use it to compare Valverde to Zumaya using WXL either. But, it's the only way to compare the contribution that a closer or rally-stopper makes to the team to the contribution of someone who gets more playing time. Anything else makes it look like even the best relievers don't matter much because they don't pitch much. Rodney's 3 blown saves are real losses for the Angels that we don't have because Dombrowski went out and got Valverde instead. He'd definitely get my vote.

Good discussion Chris. I think WPA/LI does a good job of comparing SP's and RP's. Looking at last year's final numbers, the top seven were starting pitchers, but Nos. 8, 10, 11, 13, 15, and 16 were relievers. That ratio passes the sniff test for me. Go over to FanGraphs and check it out, and let me know what you think.

Here's their short article introducing the stat: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/get-to-know-wpali/

If you use Win-Expectancy based metrics instead of leverageless WAR, Verlander doesn't beat out Valverde for most valuable Tiger pitcher of the first half, and it isn't close. Based on how well he has pitched when it counted most, Valverde has added 2 expected wins above average while Verlander has added less than 1. Relief pitchers get paid the big bucks because they pitch in high-leverage situations, but their WAR stats will never reflect their true importance to the team.

I'm not sure about that Chris. The WPA/LI stat listed on FanGraphs give Justin the 1.56 to 1.24 advantage.

I think I read your comment wrong the first time around, so I'll try again.

I don't think it's fair to use WPA in this situation for the very reason that it is so heavily reliant on leverage. I'd prefer to use WPA/LI, which still gives Justin the advantage. We shouldn't give Valverde all of the credit for Leyland deciding to use him in save situations.

then again, the Cy Young award isn't necessarily to be given to the most valuable pitcher, simply the best pitcher. My my estimation, that man is Valverde.

But John, what criteria do you use to determine who's the best pitcher? Eye test? ERA? FIP? Saves? Wins? WPA? WPA/LI? WAR? WHIP? How do you compare the relative worth of a guy that can go 7 innings to a guy that can go only 1 or 2 innings?

You know me, Matt, I'm fairly old-school when it comes to these things. Don't get me wrong, I'm not a saber-hater, just a guy who doesn't fully embrace everything the saber-minded community does. I use statistics to confirm (or disprove) what I see on the field.

In a case like this one, where the two pitchers are so similar in terms of production (and many of the rating you and Chris are using), I revert back to my perception of value. I guess it's kind of what Zac said in the post, we expect this from Verlander, which maybe unfairly tips the scale to Valverde. But yes, there is a good deal of eye test involved, and a wow factor that Valverde has and Verlander (simply because he's done it here so long) doesn't.

I feel like baseball fans have a pretty good sniff test for determining what a great closers numbers should be. Vavlerde's have been better than that arbitrary standard so I gave him my vote. It happens in the real vote too; Eric Gagne won a Cy Young because he put up a year ridiculously above and beyond what a normal great closer would do.

Some fans do have a good sniff test, but then again, I hear people on the radio talk about how good Eddie Bonine has been. I punch the radio every time.

That is what happens when you listen to the Huge (idiot) Show.

I was speaking about closers, but point taken.

My other top game of the first half was the extra inning win over the Red Sox on May 15. Dontrelle Willis had a terrible start and we were stuck sitting with a three-row group of drunk idiots so we decided to roam the stadium since the Tigers were down 6-1 after 5. Along the way, Brennan Boesch came up with a big 2-run triple to get the Tigers back in the game. It was one of four hits for Boesch that night and it sticks out in my mind as the day I really started believing he's for real.