Astros vs. Tigers prediction and odds for Saturday, Aug. 26 (Detroit has value as home underdog)

After a thrilling comeback, can the Tigers make it two in a row against the Astros?

Aug 23, 2023; Detroit, Michigan, USA;  Detroit Tigers right fielder Kerry Carpenter (30) hits a
Aug 23, 2023; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Tigers right fielder Kerry Carpenter (30) hits a / Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

In one of the highlights of the Tigers season, the team rallied in the ninth inning to knock off the Astros 4-1 courtesy of an Austin Meadows walk off home run.

The Tigers will hope that Eduardo Rodriguez can continue to pitch to a high level against a floundering Astros lineup and knock around rookie Hunter Brown, who has some concerning metrics heading into this game.

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Astros vs. Tigers odds, run line and total

Astros vs. Tigers prediction and pick

The Tigers are hitting the best it has as a team over the last two weeks or so, per The team is eighth in OPS over the last 15 days while tied for the the big league high for home runs in that time frame (23, tied with the Braves).

Brown has decent numbers as a rookie, striking out more than 10 batters per nine innings but has struggled with limiting the long ball, allowing a dinger on 20% of fly balls this season, a concerning mark and could be the difference in this matchup.

Meanwhile, for the Tigers, Rodriguez has had an up-and-down last two months following a stint on the injured list, posting a 4.37 ERA, but he is due some positive regression in that time, posting a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) 3.16.

I believe that as a home underdog with the Tigers emerging bats, this is an attractive underdog bet on Saturday afternoon.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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