The Tigers have split the first two against the Rangers in Texas this week, can the team make it at least a split of a four game series on Wednesday.
Detroit will start left hander Joey Wentz on Wednesday against Rangers' righty Dane Dunning. Dunning's numbers far outpace Wentz on the year, but is it smoke and mirrors? Can Detroit cash in as underdogs?
Here are the odds for Wednesday's matchup:
Tigers vs. Rangers odds, run line and total
Tigers vs. Rangers prediction and pick
Dunning's numbers are on shaky ground. He has a glowing 2.76 ERA, but it's supported by a 5.09 xERA. Dunning has stranded nearly 78% of the batters on base while striking out the fewest amount of batters of his career (only five per nine innings). Further, he is allowing a home run on less than five percent of fly balls in play.
While the Rangers are the far superior offense, the Tigers can outperform this underdog price with its pitching on the mound. The left hander Wentz has a concerning ERA of 6.72, its supported by an xERA of 5.47 and has dropped down to a 4.81 over his last five starts. After Wentz, the Tigers bullpen that is 11th in unit ERA will take over and try to keep a lid on the Rangers offense.
This is a pure fade of Dunning, who is due for some harsh regression moving forward and I believe the Tigers pitching staff is being overlooked.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.