The Detroit Tigers are on the road on Friday to take on the Colorado Rockies, who have been awful in 2023, posting the worst run differential in the National League.
Colorado was blown out on Thursday night, losing 14-3 to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Now, the team has an easier matchup with Detroit, but the Tigers (35-45) sit just four games out of the division lead in the AL Central.
Michael Lorenzen (2-5, 3.97 ERA) takes the mound for the Tigers in this game against lefty Austin Gomber (5-7, 7.01 ERA). Gomber has shelled at home this season, so this could be a tough one for the Rockies.
Let’s dive into the odds and my best bet for Friday’s matchup:
Tigers vs. Rockies odds, run line and total
Tigers vs. Rockies prediction and pick
Pitching at Coors Field isn’t easy for anyone, but Gomber certainly finds it extremely challenging, so it’s unfortunate that it's his home field.
The lefty has made nine starts at home this season, posting a 8.72 ERA in those games and allowing opponents to slash a ridiculous .337/.390/.646 against him.
The Tigers aren’t a great offense, but they are better against left-handed pitching (22nd in OPS this season) than righties.
At 11.5, the total is high in this game, but three of Gomber’s last five home starts have gone over this number.
Lorenzen has not been bad for Detroit this season, but he does have a Fielding Independent Pitching that is higher than his ERA at 4.44.
The veteran right-hander has allowed five or more runs in five different starts this season, and he could fall victim to the altitude at Coors Field. Lorenzen has allowed 11 homers in 13 appearances in 2023.
After watching the Rockies play back-to-back high-scoring games (17 runs in each) against the Dodgers, I’ll gladly fade their pitching and expect fireworks again on Friday night.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.