Going into the bottom of the ninth during Saturday's game against the Dodgers, literally all of the odds were stacked against the Tigers. LA had a 99% win probability after putting up nine runs to Detroit's four by the end of the eighth. But the game rolled into the bottom of the ninth and Detroit's order reset. LA reliever Ricky Vanasco, hardly the cream of the Dodgers' bullpen crop, was on the mound. There was an inch -- perhaps a centimeter -- of hope.
Matt Vierling hit a two-run double to increase the Tigers' chances of winning to 9%, and Vanasco was promptly replaced by Dodgers closer Evan Phillips. He got Riley Greene and Jake Rogers to ground out and strike out respectively, sending the Tigers' probability back down to 1% as Phillips worked down the lineup. All he needed to do was get No. 6 hitter Carson Kelly out, one way or the other. Instead, Kelly hit an RBI single to pull the Tigers within two.
With Colt Keith up at the plate and Kelly on first, Tigers legend turned color commentator Kirk Gibson had a prediction for how Keith's at-bat could go to tie things up. "Cutter in, barrel it, tie game."
And, because baseball is a beautiful, serendipitous sport sometimes, that's exactly the pitch Phillips threw, and exactly the pitch Keith hit for a game-tying two-run homer.
Kirk Gibson called Colt Keith's two-run homer against the Dodgers with eerily perfect accuracy
Phillips' first pitch to Keith was a 93 mph cutter up and in, a pitch that could've been called a ball if Keith had decided to take. Instead, he hit it 364 feet over the right field wall and into the waiting arms of a young Tigers fan.
It wouldn't be the last time Keith got to play hero that afternoon, either. His homer forced the game into extras, and Will Vest found himself in a bases-loaded jam in the 10th. Freddie Freeman shot a grounder right past second base, but Zach McKinstry was there. He dove for it and flipped it to Keith covering second, who spun and tossed to get Freeman at first to retire the side, marking one of the Tigers' best double plays of the season. The Tigers broadcast cut to Dodgers manager Dave Roberts in the visiting dugout, and fans could basically see the light leaving his eyes.
Gio Urshela eventually walked it off in the bottom of the 10th, making this a game Tigers fans won't be getting over anytime soon. Keith said of the homer: "I'm just going to keep having good at-bats and try to put the barrel on the ball. It's one of the coolest moments yet. Playing the Dodgers, obviously got a billion dollars worth of players, and we were able to beat them with the boys here. It was fun."
"Fun" might be an understatement. More of this, please.