Detroit Tigers: Projecting Long-Term Replacements for Veterans Part 1

Aug 17, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Tigers designated hitter Victor Martinez (41) receives congratulations from right fielder J.D. Martinez (28) after he hits a home run in the second inning against the Kansas City Royals at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Aug 17, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Tigers designated hitter Victor Martinez (41) receives congratulations from right fielder J.D. Martinez (28) after he hits a home run in the second inning against the Kansas City Royals at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
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Sep 20, 2016; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Detroit Tigers third baseman JaCoby Jones (40) and first baseman Miguel Cabrera (24) celebrate after defeating the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The Tigers won 8-1. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 20, 2016; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Detroit Tigers third baseman JaCoby Jones (40) and first baseman Miguel Cabrera (24) celebrate after defeating the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The Tigers won 8-1. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports /

Detroit Tigers general manager Al Avila is looking to make the team younger. While that didn’t happen this offseason, it could eventually take place. Here some long-term replacements for Detroit’s veterans.

Detroit Tigers fans didn’t see much change this offseason.

After the names of franchise stalwarts like Justin Verlander, Miguel Cabrera and Ian Kinsler surfaced in trade rumors, Cameron Maybin ended up being the only notable contributor traded.

Elsewhere, bench cogs Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Erick Aybar and Casey McGehee departed via free agency.

The trio’s playing time and at-bats will likely be taken by the likes of Alex Avila, Dixon Machado and Andrew Romine.

While the team didn’t move any other pieces and will look to contend next season, it still doesn’t take away from the fact that the Tigers are a veteran team.

Those veterans should help the team in their quest to claim a World Series. However, replacements will eventually be needed.

This doesn’t necessarily mean Detroit needs to rebuild, but once some older players hit free agency or become ineffective, the Tigers will need replacements.

Considering the franchise won’t operate with a sky-high payroll forever, it is probably prudent that those replacements are younger, in-house options.

It should be noted that players like Cabrera, Verlander, Jordan Zimmermann and Justin Upton are signed to long-term teals.

They should be around for the long haul.

As such, replacements for them aren’t included on this list.

Here is a look at some of the long-term replacements for some of the Detroit Tigers’ veteran players.

Aug 9, 2016; Seattle, WA, USA; Detroit Tigers designated hitter Victor Martinez (41) celebrates in the dugout with teammates after hitting a solo-home run against the Seattle Mariners during the fifteenth inning at Safeco Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
Aug 9, 2016; Seattle, WA, USA; Detroit Tigers designated hitter Victor Martinez (41) celebrates in the dugout with teammates after hitting a solo-home run against the Seattle Mariners during the fifteenth inning at Safeco Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports /

Victor Martinez
Age: 38
Position: Designated Hitter
Contract Expires Following the 2018 Season

Victor Martinez enjoyed a fine bounce-back season for the Detroit Tigers in 2016.

After a struggle of a 2015 campaign that saw the designated hitter post a .667 OPS, a 78 wRC+ and a -2.0 WAR, the veteran was solid last season.

In 154 games, the 38-year-old hit .289 with an .826 OPS. He also added 86 RBI, 65 run scored, 27 home runs and 22 doubles.

All told, Martinez’ wRC+ finished at 120, while his WAR checked in at 0.9.

Potential Long-Term Replacements: Mike Gerber, Christin Stewart, Steven Moya, Miguel Cabrera or Justin Upton

Considering designated hitter could conceivably be filled by any player, the Tigers will likely have plenty of options.

As of now, an extra outfielder eventually stepping in for Martinez makes the most sense considering the glut of prospects Detroit is developing.

Things could obviously change, but some combination of Gerber, Stewart and Moya could man the position.

Should they establish themselves in the Majors, JaCoby Jones and Derek Hill are plus defenders waiting to happen. With the duo potentially filling two of the three outfield spots, Gerber, Stewart or Moya could play the position.

What’s more, a veteran like Cabrera, Upton or J.D. Martinez could also be a fit.

Jul 19, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez (19) wave to the fans as he walks off the field after being relieved in the seventh inning against the Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Jul 19, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez (19) wave to the fans as he walks off the field after being relieved in the seventh inning against the Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports /

Anibal Sanchez and Mike Pelfrey
Age: 32 (Sanchez) and 33 (Pelfrey)
Position: Starting Pitcher
Contracts Expire Following the 2017 Season*
(Per Spotrac, Sanchez’ contract can be bought out for $5 million after next season.)

It probably is safe to say that both Anibal Sanchez and Mike Pelfrey had down seasons last year.

Sanchez, who once led the American League in ERA, saw his ERA balloon to 5.87. He allowed 171 hits, 100 earned runs and 53 walks in 153.1 innings.

Elsewhere, Pelfrey struggled in his first year in the Motor City. Signed to provide quality innings, the starter turned in a 5.07 ERA and an unsightly 5.15 FIP.

The veteran simply allowed too many base runners. In 119 frames, the former Met was tagged for 160 hits and 46 walks.

In fact, Pelfrey nearly finished with more free passes (46) than strikeouts (56).

Potential Long-Term Replacements: Daniel Norris and Matt Boyd

With many of the veterans on this list, the prospects most likely to replace them are years away from being Major League ready.

However, Sanchez and Pelfrey’s respective rotation replacements are already in the Majors.

Daniel Norris and Matt Boyd made a combined 31 starts last season, and the young duo should continue to start games for Detroit.

Daniel Norris

Norris turned in a 1.1 WAR in limited action, which included notching a 3.38 ERA and a 3.94 SIERA in 69.1 innings of work.

What’s more, the former top prospect struck out 9.2 batters per nine frames while allowing just 2.9 walks per nine innings.

Matt Boyd

Boyd’s numbers—4.53 ERA, 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings—won’t stand out as much, but he’s got plenty of pitching ability.

From early July to late August, the Washington native posted a stellar 2.55 ERA in 49.1 innings. That same stretch saw the right-hander hold batters to a .222 batting average and a .289 on-base percentage.

In those 49.1 innings, Boyd also punched out 46 batters while walking only 15.

Sep 25, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Tigers right fielder J.D. Martinez (28) hits a double in the third inning against the Kansas City Royals at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 25, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Tigers right fielder J.D. Martinez (28) hits a double in the third inning against the Kansas City Royals at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports /

J.D. Martinez
Age: 29
Position: Right Fielder
Contract Expires Following the 2017 Season

It remains to be seen whether J.D. Martinez sticks with the Detroit Tigers long term.

Detroit has certainly received plenty of value for a player they signed as a free agent in late March of 2014.

In three seasons in the Motor City, the outfielder has developed into one of the best players at his position in the league.

Over 401 games, the right fielder has hit .299 with an .898 OPS. He’s also turned in 246 RBI, 219 runs scored, 98 doubles, 83 home runs, 10 stolen bases and seven triples.

In total, Martinez has posted a 10.8 WAR with the Tigers, while his wRC+ numbers have checked in at 154, 137 and 142 respectively.

Potential Long-Term Replacement: Christin Stewart

Unlike the other veterans, this one is slightly more difficult to forecast.

Should Martinez depart before Opening Day 2018—whether that be via trade or free agency—Detroit will be in need of a replacement.

Over the long haul the answer is probably Christin Stewart.

A powerful outfielder with a penchant for drawing walks, Stewart has serious upside as an impact performer at the dish.

However, the outfielder just reached Double-A for the first time last season, and he may not be ready for a starting gig in Detroit a year from now.

If he isn’t ready, some combination of Tyler Collins, Steven Moya and Mikie Mahtook will likely serve as stop-gap options.

Aug 29, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Tigers second baseman Ian Kinsler (3) receives congratulations from first base coach Omar Vizquel (13) after hitting a single against the Chicago White Sox in the third inning at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
Aug 29, 2016; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Tigers second baseman Ian Kinsler (3) receives congratulations from first base coach Omar Vizquel (13) after hitting a single against the Chicago White Sox in the third inning at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports /

Ian Kinsler
Age: 34
Position: Second Base
Contract Expires Following the 2017 Season*
(According to Spotrac, Kinsler’s contract has a team option for 2018 worth $10 million.)

Ian Kinsler seems to be getting better with age.

The 34-year-old second baseman has been plenty productive in his career, with a lifetime 44.2 WAR. What’s more, the veteran has been to four All-Star Games, and has earned MVP votes on four different occasions.

However, 2016 was arguably his best season as a professional.

In addition to winning his first Gold Glove, Kinsler was a force offensively.

Playing in 153 games for the Tigers, the former Ranger racked up 178 hits, 117 runs scored, 83 RBI, 29 doubles, 28 home runs, 14 stolen bases and four triples.

His WAR paced all Detroit position players at 5.8, while the veteran posted the second-highest wRC+ output of his career at 123.

Potential Long-Term Replacements: Dixon Machado, Will Maddox, Hector Martinez or Anthony Pereira

Somewhat similar to first base, Detroit doesn’t have a ton of prospect depth at second. As such, many of the names listed above currently play shortstop, but have experience at the other middle infield position.

Should Jose Iglesias stick around for the long haul with the Tigers, defensive standout Dixon Machado could slide over and eventually replace Kinsler.

Looking to the future, Will Maddox, Hector Martinez and Anthony Pereira could all develop into starting players.

Will Maddox

A former 18th-round pick in 2014, Maddox has set about destroying minor league pitching early in his career.

The versatile fielder, who can also man first, accounted for 173 hits, 58 RBI and 28 stolen baes in just 127 games in the Midwest League last season.

If he can continue to produce, he could have a shot at starting in Detroit.

Hector Martinez

Farther down the minor league ladder, Hector Martinez is coming off a solid season in his first year playing in the States.

Against older competition in the Gulf Coast League, the 20-year-old turned in a .310 batting average and a .367 on-base percentage to go along with 17 runs scored, 10 RBI, seven steals and five extra-base hits in 42 contests.

Anthony Pereira

Rounding out the list is Pereira, who despite being just 20 is already playing at Double-A against players who are on average 5.3 years older than him.

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His .560 OPS and nine extra-hits won’t jump off the page. However, if the infielder can continue to develop against significantly older competition, he could have a bright future in the Majors.

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