Matthew Boyd with an average HR rate. Boyd has long been victim to the long ball and 2020 has been no different; giving up 11 home runs over 40.2 innings which is good for 2.4 HR per 9 innings pitched. League average is about 1.4 HR/9, so if Boyd were average as far as his propensity to give up the big fly, he’d only have given up 6 or 7 home runs so far this year and would go from averaging a home run every 4.1 innings to every 6.2 innings; a much more palatable rate for a starter.
Luckily for him and the Detroit Tigers, the vast majority of Boyd’s home runs this year have been solo shots. He’s averaged about 1.2 runs per each home run he has given up, so knocking those home runs off would also take his league-high 30 earned runs down to the 24 range, bringing his ERA on the year from 6.64 to about 5.97 alone.
I would fix Boyd’s curveball and make it the league average.