Detroit Tigers: Take a Sad Stat and Make It Better
Niko Goodrum Average Shortstop Strikeout Rate
The league average strikeout rate for shortstops is just 20.8%. What happens if we take Niko Goodrum’s 38.8% strikeout rate and drop it to average?
Well, that drops his raw strikeout totals from 50 in 129 plate appearances to just 27, so now we have 23 more batting events to examine. At Goodrum’s current walk-rate (10.1%) and BABIP (.263), this average K-rate would result in 2 more walks and 6 more hits. Just over half of Goodrum’s hits this season have gone for extra bases (5 doubles, 1 triple, 5 homers), so we’ll give him 3 singles, 2 doubles, and a homer.
Niko Goodrum with a league-average strikeout rate would raise his slash line from .186/.264/.381 to .243/.325/.478, and provide about 7 more runs of offense to the team. FanGraphs grades Goodrum as the 2nd best shortstop defender this season, so with this new offense he’d be worth about 1.1 WAR, making him roughly as valuable as Carlos Correa and Fransico Lindor have been this season. That would be helpful.